Leveraging NFL ADP (July)

Preparing for your league’s draft is half the battle in fantasy football. You can’t win the league at the draft, but you can sure lose it. One important strategy for being prepared is knowing the platform you are drafting on and that site’s ADP. ADP can vary massively from site to site and learning some of the discrepancies in the ADP from site to site is a surefire way to know which players or positions can be over or undervalued. That’s where Leveraging NFL ADP comes in.

We will look at 1QB and ADP for NFL.com and will compare that against 2024 Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) as per Fantasy Pros. This comparison will allow us to see which players are going way too early or late on Sleeper when compared to ECR. Comparisons will be in 1/2 PPR format.

In the charts below, Rank will indicate the player’s 1/2 PPR rank on the site, ECR will indicate the player’s 1/2 PPR rank on ECR, and ECR Diff will indicate the difference between the two rankings. A positive number will indicate a player is undervalued on this site, while a negative value indicates they are overvalued on the site. After the chart, we will list a few of the best and worst values on the site in each format.

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NFL July ADP vs ECR

NFL	ECR	Name	Team	Pos	Site Diff
1	1	Christian McCaffrey	SF	RB	0
2	2	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	WR	0
3	3	Tyreek Hill	MIA	WR	0
4	4	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	WR	0
5	5	Justin Jefferson	MIN	WR	0
6	6	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	WR	0
7	7	Breece Hall	NYJ	RB	0
8	8	Bijan Robinson	ATL	RB	0
9	9	A.J. Brown	PHI	WR	0
10	10	Puka Nacua	LAR	WR	0
11	14	Saquon Barkley	NYG	RB	-3
12	13	Jonathan Taylor	IND	RB	-1
13	12	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	RB	1
14	29	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARI	WR	-15
15	11	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	WR	4
16	17	Brandon Aiyuk	SF	WR	-1
17	15	Davante Adams	LV	WR	2
18	22	Derrick Henry	TEN	RB	-4
19	32	Isiah Pacheco	KC	RB	-13
20	18	Kyren Williams	LAR	RB	2
21	21	Drake London	ATL	WR	0
22	16	Travis Etienne Jr.	JAC	RB	6
23	19	Chris Olave	NO	WR	4
24	23	Mike Evans	TB	WR	1
25	34	Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	WR	-9
26	38	Rachaad White	TB	RB	-12
27	41	Cooper Kupp	LAR	WR	-14
28	25	Deebo Samuel	SF	WR	3
29	35	De'Von Achane	MIA	RB	-6
30	40	DeVonta Smith	PHI	WR	-10
31	30	Nico Collins	HOU	WR	1
32	27	Sam LaPorta	DET	TE	5
33	26	Travis Kelce	KC	TE	7
34	31	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	WR	3
35	43	Amari Cooper	CLE	WR	-8
36	28	DJ Moore	CHI	WR	8
37	50	Trey McBride	ARI	TE	-13
38	42	James Cook	BUF	RB	-4
39	33	DK Metcalf	SEA	WR	6
40	20	Josh Allen	BUF	QB	20
41	47	Kenneth Walker III	SEA	RB	-6
42	48	Mark Andrews	BAL	TE	-6
43	39	Josh Jacobs	LV	RB	4
44	45	Stefon Diggs	BUF	WR	-1
45	24	Jalen Hurts	PHI	QB	21
46	49	Tee Higgins	CIN	WR	-3
47	56	Christian Kirk	JAC	WR	-9
48	54	Alvin Kamara	NO	RB	-6
49	55	Tank Dell	HOU	WR	-6
50	36	Patrick Mahomes II	KC	QB	14
51	37	Lamar Jackson	BAL	QB	14
52	44	Joe Mixon	CIN	RB	8
53	52	Zay Flowers	BAL	WR	1
54	51	Anthony Richardson	IND	QB	3
55	63	Malik Nabers	NYG	WR	-8
56	62	Keenan Allen	LAC	WR	-6
57	59	Terry McLaurin	WAS	WR	-2
58	72	Jayden Reed	GB	WR	-14
59	68	Calvin Ridley	JAC	WR	-9
60	53	George Pickens	PIT	WR	7
61	81	Diontae Johnson	PIT	WR	-20
62	74	Chris Godwin	TB	WR	-12
63	65	Kyler Murray	ARI	QB	-2
64	67	James Conner	ARI	RB	-3
65	66	Dalton Kincaid	BUF	TE	-1
66	79	Kyle Pitts	ATL	TE	-13
67	46	C.J. Stroud	HOU	QB	21
68	69	Zamir White	LV	RB	-1
69	60	David Montgomery	DET	RB	9
70	75	Raheem Mostert	MIA	RB	-5
71	64	Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	RB	7
72	73	D'Andre Swift	PHI	RB	-1
73	57	Joe Burrow	CIN	QB	16
74	104	Jonathon Brooks	CAR	RB	-30
75	58	Aaron Jones	GB	RB	17
76	83	Marquise Brown	ARI	WR	-7
77	76	George Kittle	SF	TE	1
78	78	Tony Pollard	DAL	RB	0
79	119	Rome Odunze	CHI	WR	-40
80	61	Dak Prescott	DAL	QB	19
81	84	Evan Engram	JAC	TE	-3
82	82	Rashee Rice	KC	WR	0
83	85	Jaylen Warren	PIT	RB	-2
84	102	Austin Ekeler	LAC	RB	-18
85	71	Najee Harris	PIT	RB	14
86	91	David Njoku	CLE	TE	-5
87	108	Gus Edwards	BAL	RB	-21
88	87	Jordan Addison	MIN	WR	1
89	133	Keon Coleman	BUF	WR	-44
90	116	Ladd McConkey	LAC	WR	-26
91	94	Xavier Worthy	KC	WR	-3
92	96	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	WR	-4
93	70	Jordan Love	GB	QB	23
94	77	DeAndre Hopkins	TEN	WR	17
95	92	Jake Ferguson	DAL	TE	3
96	86	Zack Moss	IND	RB	10
97	103	Tyjae Spears	TEN	RB	-6
98	95	Devin Singletary	HOU	RB	3
99	111	Ezekiel Elliott	NE	RB	-12
100	89	Brian Robinson Jr.	WAS	RB	11
101	88	Javonte Williams	DEN	RB	13
102	113	Jameson Williams	DET	WR	-11
103	147	Khalil Shakir	BUF	WR	-44
104	117	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAC	WR	-13
105	106	Tyler Lockett	SEA	WR	-1
106	98	Jayden Daniels	WSH	QB	8
107	80	Brock Purdy	SF	QB	27
108	93	Christian Watson	GB	WR	15
109	109	Courtland Sutton	DEN	WR	0
110	100	Justin Herbert	LAC	QB	10
111	123	Mike Williams	LAC	WR	-12
112		Malachi Corley	NYJ	WR	112
113	183	Roman Wilson	PIT	WR	-70
114		Dustin Hopkins	CLE	PK	114
115	130	Romeo Doubs	GB	WR	-15
116	97	Jared Goff	DET	QB	19
117	101	Trevor Lawrence	JAC	QB	16
118	90	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	QB	28
119	105	Dallas Goedert	PHI	TE	14
120	115	Matthew Stafford	LAR	QB	5
121	99	Caleb Williams	CHI	QB	22
122	125	Aaron Rodgers	NYJ	QB	-3
123	134	Deshaun Watson	CLE	QB	-11
124	132	Baker Mayfield	TB	QB	-8
125	110	Kirk Cousins	MIN	QB	15
126	141	Geno Smith	SEA	QB	-15
127	187	J.J. McCarthy	MIN	QB	-60
129	118	T.J. Hockenson	MIN	TE	11
129		Russell Wilson	DEN	QB	129
130		Drake Maye	NE	QB	130
131	149	Will Levis	TEN	QB	-18
132	161	Derek Carr	NO	QB	-29
133	169	Daniel Jones	NYG	QB	-36
134	171	Bryce Young	CAR	QB	-37
135		Bo Nix	DEN	QB	135
136	112	Brock Bowers	LV	TE	24
137	107	Nick Chubb	CLE	RB	30
138	173	Xavier Legette	CAR	WR	-35
139	144	Jerry Jeudy	DEN	WR	-5
140	121	Jakobi Meyers	LV	WR	19
141		Harrison Butker	KC	PK	141
142	185	Justin Tucker	BAL	PK	-43
143		Gardner Minshew II	IND	QB	143
144	109	Gabe Davis	BUF	WR	35
145	114	Dalton Schultz	HOU	TE	31
146	128	Chase Brown	CIN	RB	18
147	150	Josh Downs	IND	WR	-3
148	194	Brandon Aubrey	DAL	PK	-46
149	168	Demario Douglas	NE	WR	-19
150		Evan McPherson	CIN	PK	150
151	135	Brandin Cooks	DAL	WR	16
152	179	Wan'Dale Robinson	NYG	WR	-27
153	196	Ricky Pearsall	SF	WR	-43
154	143	Joshua Palmer	LAC	WR	11
155	192	Ja'Lynn Polk	NE	WR	-37
156	129	Curtis Samuel	WAS	WR	27
157	122	Zach Charbonnet	SEA	RB	35
158	162	Dontayvion Wicks	GB	WR	-4
158		Younghoe Koo	ATL	PK	158
160		Troy Franklin	DEN	WR	160
161	166	Adonai Mitchell	IND	WR	-5
162	131	Chuba Hubbard	CAR	RB	31
163	120	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	TE	43
164		Cameron Dicker	LAC	PK	164
165		Jake Moody	SF	PK	165
166		Greg Zuerlein	NYJ	PK	166
167	167	Michael Wilson	ARI	WR	0
168		Ka'imi Fairbairn	HOU	PK	168
169	165	Quentin Johnston	LAC	WR	4
170	156	Adam Thielen	CAR	WR	14
171	152	Jahan Dotson	WAS	WR	19
172	124	Cole Kmet	CHI	TE	48
173	172	Darnell Mooney	CHI	WR	1
174		Tyler Bass	BUF	PK	174
175		Daniel Carlson	LV	PK	175
176		Darren Waller	NYG	TE	176
177		Blake Grupe	NO	PK	177
178		Jason Myers	SEA	PK	178
179		Jason Sanders	MIA	PK	179
180		Jake Elliott	PHI	PK	180
181		Michael Badgley	DET	PK	181
182		Chris Boswell	PIT	PK	182
183		Matt Gay	IND	PK	183
184		Chase McLaughlin	TB	PK	184
185	163	Marvin Mims Jr.	DEN	WR	22
186		Matt Prater	ARI	PK	186
187		Brandon McManus	JAC	PK	187
188		Nick Folk	TEN	PK	188
189		Graham Gano	NYG	PK	189
191		Cairo Santos	CHI	PK	191
192	137	Blake Corum	LAR	RB	55
193		Anders Carlson	GB	PK	193
194	174	Jermaine Burton	CIN	WR	20
195	175	Rashod Bateman	BAL	WR	20
196		Greg Dortch	ARI	WR	196
197		Jalen McMillan	TB	WR	197
198		Treylon Burks	TEN	WR	198
200		Devontez Walker	BAL	WR	200

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Over Valued Players on NFL vs ECR

113- Roman Wilson, Steelers (ECR Rank 183) -70

127- JJ McCarthy, Vikings (ECR Rank 187) -60

148- Brandon Aubrey, Cowboys (ECR Rank 194) -46

89- Keon Coleman, Bills (ECR Rank 133) -44

103- Khalil Shakir, Bills (ECR Rank 147) -44

Under Valued Players on NFL vs ECR

192- Blake Corum, Rams (ECR Rank 137) +55

172- Cole Kmet, Bears (ECR Rank 124) +48

163- Pat Freiermuth, Steelers (ECR Rank 120) +43

144- Gabe Davis, Jaguars (ECR Rank 109) +35

157- Zach Charbonnet, Seahawks (ECR Rank 122) +35

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Thank you for reading Leveraging NFL ADP. For our complete set of Rankings that were ranked 2nd in the 2023 Fantasy Pros Draft Accuracy Competition, head over to my Rankings Page.