Leveraging NFL ADP (July)

Preparing for your league’s draft is half the battle in fantasy football. You can’t win the league at the draft, but you can sure lose it. One important strategy for being prepared is knowing the platform you are drafting on and that site’s ADP. ADP can vary massively from site to site and learning some of the discrepancies in the ADP from site to site is a surefire way to know which players or positions can be over or undervalued. That’s where Leveraging NFL ADP comes in.

We will look at 1QB and ADP for NFL.com and will compare that against 2024 Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) as per Fantasy Pros. This comparison will allow us to see which players are going way too early or late on Sleeper when compared to ECR. Comparisons will be in 1/2 PPR format.

In the charts below, Rank will indicate the player’s 1/2 PPR rank on the site, ECR will indicate the player’s 1/2 PPR rank on ECR, and ECR Diff will indicate the difference between the two rankings. A positive number will indicate a player is undervalued on this site, while a negative value indicates they are overvalued on the site. After the chart, we will list a few of the best and worst values on the site in each format.


NFL July ADP vs ECR

NFLECRNameTeamPosSite Diff
11Christian McCaffreySFRB0
22CeeDee LambDALWR0
33Tyreek HillMIAWR0
44Ja'Marr ChaseCINWR0
55Justin JeffersonMINWR0
66Amon-Ra St. BrownDETWR0
77Breece HallNYJRB0
88Bijan RobinsonATLRB0
99A.J. BrownPHIWR0
1010Puka NacuaLARWR0
1114Saquon BarkleyNYGRB-3
1213Jonathan TaylorINDRB-1
1312Jahmyr GibbsDETRB1
1429Marvin Harrison Jr.ARIWR-15
1511Garrett WilsonNYJWR4
1617Brandon AiyukSFWR-1
1715Davante AdamsLVWR2
1822Derrick HenryTENRB-4
1932Isiah PachecoKCRB-13
2018Kyren WilliamsLARRB2
2121Drake LondonATLWR0
2216Travis Etienne Jr.JACRB6
2319Chris OlaveNOWR4
2423Mike EvansTBWR1
2534Michael Pittman Jr.INDWR-9
2638Rachaad WhiteTBRB-12
2741Cooper KuppLARWR-14
2825Deebo SamuelSFWR3
2935De'Von AchaneMIARB-6
3040DeVonta SmithPHIWR-10
3130Nico CollinsHOUWR1
3227Sam LaPortaDETTE5
3326Travis KelceKCTE7
3431Jaylen WaddleMIAWR3
3543Amari CooperCLEWR-8
3628DJ MooreCHIWR8
3750Trey McBrideARITE-13
3842James CookBUFRB-4
3933DK MetcalfSEAWR6
4020Josh AllenBUFQB20
4147Kenneth Walker IIISEARB-6
4248Mark AndrewsBALTE-6
4339Josh JacobsLVRB4
4445Stefon DiggsBUFWR-1
4524Jalen HurtsPHIQB21
4649Tee HigginsCINWR-3
4756Christian KirkJACWR-9
4854Alvin KamaraNORB-6
4955Tank DellHOUWR-6
5036Patrick Mahomes IIKCQB14
5137Lamar JacksonBALQB14
5244Joe MixonCINRB8
5352Zay FlowersBALWR1
5451Anthony RichardsonINDQB3
5563Malik NabersNYGWR-8
5662Keenan AllenLACWR-6
5759Terry McLaurinWASWR-2
5872Jayden ReedGBWR-14
5968Calvin RidleyJACWR-9
6053George PickensPITWR7
6181Diontae JohnsonPITWR-20
6274Chris GodwinTBWR-12
6365Kyler MurrayARIQB-2
6467James ConnerARIRB-3
6566Dalton KincaidBUFTE-1
6679Kyle PittsATLTE-13
6746C.J. StroudHOUQB21
6869Zamir WhiteLVRB-1
6960David MontgomeryDETRB9
7075Raheem MostertMIARB-5
7164Rhamondre StevensonNERB7
7273D'Andre SwiftPHIRB-1
7357Joe BurrowCINQB16
74104Jonathon BrooksCARRB-30
7558Aaron JonesGBRB17
7683Marquise BrownARIWR-7
7776George KittleSFTE1
7878Tony PollardDALRB0
79119Rome OdunzeCHIWR-40
8061Dak PrescottDALQB19
8184Evan EngramJACTE-3
8282Rashee RiceKCWR0
8385Jaylen WarrenPITRB-2
84102Austin EkelerLACRB-18
8571Najee HarrisPITRB14
8691David NjokuCLETE-5
87108Gus EdwardsBALRB-21
8887Jordan AddisonMINWR1
89133Keon ColemanBUFWR-44
90116Ladd McConkeyLACWR-26
9194Xavier WorthyKCWR-3
9296Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWR-4
9370Jordan LoveGBQB23
9477DeAndre HopkinsTENWR17
9592Jake FergusonDALTE3
9686Zack MossINDRB10
97103Tyjae SpearsTENRB-6
9895Devin SingletaryHOURB3
99111Ezekiel ElliottNERB-12
10089Brian Robinson Jr.WASRB11
10188Javonte WilliamsDENRB13
102113Jameson WilliamsDETWR-11
103147Khalil ShakirBUFWR-44
104117Brian Thomas Jr.JACWR-13
105106Tyler LockettSEAWR-1
10698Jayden DanielsWSHQB8
10780Brock PurdySFQB27
10893Christian WatsonGBWR15
109109Courtland SuttonDENWR0
110100Justin HerbertLACQB10
111123Mike WilliamsLACWR-12
112Malachi CorleyNYJWR112
113183Roman WilsonPITWR-70
114Dustin HopkinsCLEPK114
115130Romeo DoubsGBWR-15
11697Jared GoffDETQB19
117101Trevor LawrenceJACQB16
11890Tua TagovailoaMIAQB28
119105Dallas GoedertPHITE14
120115Matthew StaffordLARQB5
12199Caleb WilliamsCHIQB22
122125Aaron RodgersNYJQB-3
123134Deshaun WatsonCLEQB-11
124132Baker MayfieldTBQB-8
125110Kirk CousinsMINQB15
126141Geno SmithSEAQB-15
127187J.J. McCarthyMINQB-60
129118T.J. HockensonMINTE11
129Russell WilsonDENQB129
130Drake MayeNEQB130
131149Will LevisTENQB-18
132161Derek CarrNOQB-29
133169Daniel JonesNYGQB-36
134171Bryce YoungCARQB-37
135Bo NixDENQB135
136112Brock BowersLVTE24
137107Nick ChubbCLERB30
138173Xavier LegetteCARWR-35
139144Jerry JeudyDENWR-5
140121Jakobi MeyersLVWR19
141Harrison ButkerKCPK141
142185Justin TuckerBALPK-43
143Gardner Minshew IIINDQB143
144109Gabe DavisBUFWR35
145114Dalton SchultzHOUTE31
146128Chase BrownCINRB18
147150Josh DownsINDWR-3
148194Brandon AubreyDALPK-46
149168Demario DouglasNEWR-19
150Evan McPhersonCINPK150
151135Brandin CooksDALWR16
152179Wan'Dale RobinsonNYGWR-27
153196Ricky PearsallSFWR-43
154143Joshua PalmerLACWR11
155192Ja'Lynn PolkNEWR-37
156129Curtis SamuelWASWR27
157122Zach CharbonnetSEARB35
158162Dontayvion WicksGBWR-4
158Younghoe KooATLPK158
160Troy FranklinDENWR160
161166Adonai MitchellINDWR-5
162131Chuba HubbardCARRB31
163120Pat FreiermuthPITTE43
164Cameron DickerLACPK164
165Jake MoodySFPK165
166Greg ZuerleinNYJPK166
167167Michael WilsonARIWR0
168Ka'imi FairbairnHOUPK168
169165Quentin JohnstonLACWR4
170156Adam ThielenCARWR14
171152Jahan DotsonWASWR19
172124Cole KmetCHITE48
173172Darnell MooneyCHIWR1
174Tyler BassBUFPK174
175Daniel CarlsonLVPK175
176Darren WallerNYGTE176
177Blake GrupeNOPK177
178Jason MyersSEAPK178
179Jason SandersMIAPK179
180Jake ElliottPHIPK180
181Michael BadgleyDETPK181
182Chris BoswellPITPK182
183Matt GayINDPK183
184Chase McLaughlinTBPK184
185163Marvin Mims Jr.DENWR22
186Matt PraterARIPK186
187Brandon McManusJACPK187
188Nick FolkTENPK188
189Graham GanoNYGPK189
191Cairo SantosCHIPK191
192137Blake CorumLARRB55
193Anders CarlsonGBPK193
194174Jermaine BurtonCINWR20
195175Rashod BatemanBALWR20
196Greg DortchARIWR196
197Jalen McMillanTBWR197
198Treylon BurksTENWR198
200Devontez WalkerBALWR200

Over Valued Players on NFL vs ECR

113- Roman Wilson, Steelers (ECR Rank 183) -70

127- JJ McCarthy, Vikings (ECR Rank 187) -60

148- Brandon Aubrey, Cowboys (ECR Rank 194) -46

89- Keon Coleman, Bills (ECR Rank 133) -44

103- Khalil Shakir, Bills (ECR Rank 147) -44

Under Valued Players on NFL vs ECR

192- Blake Corum, Rams (ECR Rank 137) +55

172- Cole Kmet, Bears (ECR Rank 124) +48

163- Pat Freiermuth, Steelers (ECR Rank 120) +43

144- Gabe Davis, Jaguars (ECR Rank 109) +35

157- Zach Charbonnet, Seahawks (ECR Rank 122) +35


Thank you for reading Leveraging NFL ADP. For our complete set of Rankings that were ranked 2nd in the 2023 Fantasy Pros Draft Accuracy Competition, head over to my Rankings Page.

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